Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.195714 0.230785 0.269854 0.316537 0.370730 0.431592 0.505056
2024-12-15 0.144531 0.191041 0.248502 0.324408 0.421718 0.541923 0.701277
2024-12-22 0.110306 0.159832 0.226289 0.321329 0.452982 0.628020 0.877311
2024-12-29 0.091211 0.142692 0.216671 0.329597 0.496214 0.731281 1.085847
2025-01-05 0.074946 0.125525 0.202756 0.327600 0.522219 0.811262 1.269307
2025-01-12 0.061521 0.109697 0.187448 0.319839 0.536706 0.873935 1.432330
2025-01-19 0.050802 0.096033 0.172887 0.310185 0.545545 0.927189 1.584816
2025-01-26 0.044938 0.089544 0.168918 0.316929 0.581100 1.025604 1.818848
2025-02-02 0.039721 0.083215 0.164071 0.321056 0.612043 1.118854 2.053195
2025-02-09 0.034969 0.076876 0.158116 0.322040 0.636987 1.203693 2.280926
2025-02-16 0.031353 0.072144 0.154405 0.326498 0.668408 1.302560 2.542681
2025-02-23 0.029025 0.069683 0.154740 0.338726 0.715705 1.434586 2.877294
2025-03-02 0.025059 0.063025 0.145691 0.331108 0.723900 1.495672 3.088211
2025-03-09 0.022481 0.059078 0.141814 0.333795 0.753325 1.600830 3.395225
2025-03-16 0.019731 0.054194 0.135104 0.329330 0.767098 1.676135 3.650410
2025-03-23 0.018178 0.051986 0.134127 0.337471 0.808764 1.811946 4.040967
2025-03-30 0.016196 0.048283 0.129042 0.335353 0.827316 1.901149 4.342907
2025-04-06 0.014161 0.044036 0.121952 0.327402 0.831478 1.959724 4.584921
2025-04-13 0.012309 0.039921 0.114531 0.317528 0.829795 2.005030 4.801954
2025-04-20 0.011424 0.038450 0.113776 0.324421 0.869169 2.145996 5.244653
2025-04-27 0.010517 0.036731 0.112090 0.328640 0.902395 2.275948 5.674055
2025-05-04 0.009584 0.034744 0.109350 0.329646 0.927588 2.389422 6.075500
2025-05-11 0.008867 0.033311 0.107971 0.334203 0.962469 2.529227 6.551504